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Stage 5
Day 5 Huy - Saint Quentin 215 km
Results
There was a lot of fun stuff to teach about today. This will be a
good right up. Like I told you yesterday, a KOM team would keep the
breaks in check until after the first KOM prime and Pineau's team
did that setting him up for the prime. The attacking started after
the first KOM prime and mostly riders riding just for the stage win
went up the road. There was one exception, DSC sent Martinez up the
road in the break in hopes of it staying away and him taking the
Yellow Jersey. He barely failed and it was a good effort that moved
him up to 5th on GC setting him up for another try in a few days.
Note that FDJ, being a young team, sent a rider in the break for the
stage win. Expect them to continue to do this throughout the Tour
and the smart coaches and riders will use this information to help
them achieve their goals. It is very common for a team racing for a
title to work very well and permit a rider racing for the stage win
to take the stage win in order to get that rider's assistance and
help your team win something more important. Know what your
competition is focused on and use it to your advantage. Know who you
have to beat and who you don't. Don't try to fight every fight in a
stage race or you will lose your fight. Pick your fights and only
fight the ones you can win.
It is very important that you learn to read race courses the way I
teach in my e-book, "A Better Way To Train" so that you can set your
individual and team strategies. You need to know what to do and when
to do it so you don't waste energy on the wrong stages. Remember
that what you do in one stage will effect every stage after that so
know how to pick the stages you should race hard in and how to rest
at race speed in the other stages. I teach you the details for all
this stuff in my e-book.
Today, Boonen's team was on the defense and it probably cost him the
stage win because it meant his team was tired for the leadout while
the other sprinter teams were fresher. I told you to watch McEwen
for today and he won. Other experts were saying Boonen would win
today but they ignored several important facts. First, Boonen's team
spent the day chasing while Robbies' team rested. Second, McEwen
fell out the back of the peloton and rested yesterday because the
finish was hilly and he knew he would be wasting energy against
riders like Hushovd, Boonen, Zabel, and O'Grady and not win anyway
while Boonen and the others fought hard through those hills. WATCH
THE BACK OF THE PELOTON TO SEE WHO IS RESTING!!! I keep telling you
this and even top riders and coaches keep forgetting. You know what
other teams are up to when you see who is resting out the back and
can take advantage of it tomorrow. (Great stuff, huh? :-) Don't you
just love this sport?)
I really hated to hear today that O'Grady has suffered a hairline
fracture to the lumbar area of his back. This will almost certainly
put him out of the race when he reaches the mountains because the
pain in climbing with a lower back injury is excruciating. He will
probably DNF in the mountains because of the pain.
The sprinter teams started chasing after the second road prime and
barely caught the break in the last few kilometers. Only a surge by
the leadout riders caught the break. I told you there was a fairly
good chance of a break winning this one and it almost happened.
Notice that, when McEwen had a mechanical and his team was chasing
the break, the team quit chasing to help McEwen back to the peloton.
Pro's know you don't work against team mates and will stop chasing
to get one back into the peloton unless it is tactically bad for
them to do so. Again, read my book.
The most important thing that happened today was that McEwen
regained the lead in the Points Title. It is very important that he
gain as much of a lead as possible before the mountains because
climbing sprinters can gain points on stages in the lower mountains.
He needs a little buffer. There are still two stages which strongly
favor McEwen before the mountains; stages 6 and 9. Watch him in
those two stages.
Tomorrow
Tomorrow is another long stage at 225 km. There is one cat 4 climb
at 10.5 km for which the KOM teams will probably hold back attacks
and try to setup their riders for the prime. Watch the KOM riders
try to go on the attack following that prime with the break likely
to be established by the prime because there are three more cat 4
climbs later in the stage and this is another stage which could be
won by a break. So watch riders like Wegman, Pineau, De La Fuente,
and Hernandez try to make that break. There are only two more stages
which are significant to the current KOM riders before they hit the
mountains; stages 5 and 8.
There will be three road primes at about mid stage that will not
have much effect on the stage unless the break only has two riders
in it. Then watch for Points riders to try and get the left over
points. Sprinter teams may assign domestiques to chase those points
so their top sprinters can rest for the finish and other sprinters
can't get those points. You have to be thinking all the time in this
sport.
The end of tomorrow's stage is conducive more attacking so watch for
late attacks and last minute win efforts. It should be a good and
fun stage.
In only three more stages, we will see the first significant sort of
top riders on GC. See you tomorrow.